South Africa’s citrus growers are heading into the 2026 export season with cautious optimism. Projections show a 3%–5% increase, with up to 215 million cartons expected. But global instability, including conflict in the Middle East, could impact demand, shipping, and costs. As the citrus export season approaches, the Citrus Growers’ Association of Southern Africa (CGA) has released its export estimates. The figures reflect the expected volume of citrus available for export, and the estimates point to continued growth in the industry.

lthough late Mandarin estimates are only expected in a month’s time, should the historic trajectory within this Mandarin category be taken into account, the total citrus exports across all varieties is expected to increase by approximately 3% to 5%, reaching a total of between 210 – 215 million 15kg cartons. Chief executive officer of CGA, Dr Boitshoko Ntshabele, said they are acutely aware of the uncertainties the industry faces with the current war in the Middle East’s potential effect on demand, shipping, fuel availability, and input costs. However, should all that is possible be done to limit the impact of these factors, steady growth towards another record export season is within reach.

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